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Swine flu's next move impossible to predict

Chad

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Swine flu's next move impossible to predict

Scientists have yet to figure out how this strain of the influenza virus spreads, or what makes it lethal. It could continue spreading or fizzle out, they say.

By Karen Kaplan
April 27, 2009

Sometime in the last few years, as the world's attention was focused on the bird flu that killed hundreds of people in Asia, another bird flu strain infected pigs.

It mixed with two kinds of flu that are endemic in swine and a fourth that originally came from people.
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The resulting concoction spread among pigs, then recently -- no one yet knows where or when -- started infecting humans. Since late March, it seems to have sickened people in California, Texas, New York, Kansas and Ohio, as well as in Canada and Mexico, where there have been 20 confirmed deaths.

Scientists said Sunday they are unable to predict what this new swine flu will do next.

"It's impossible to say with any assurance what's going to happen," said Dr. Christopher Olsen, a molecular virologist who studies swine flu at the University of Wisconsin School of Veterinary Medicine in Madison. "Influenza viruses can evolve quite quickly."

Inspecting the virus itself is of little help, since scientists have yet to identify which features help it spread or kill, said Dr. Scott Layne, an epidemiologist at the UCLA School of Public Health.

"The microscope doesn't tell you anything," Layne said. "What are the genetic correlates of virulence? Unknown. Transmissibility? Unknown."

Among threats to public health, influenza poses an unusual challenge. People, pigs, birds and horses have developed unique strains of flu, which can easily mix and match into new strains that the human immune system is ill-equipped to recognize.

And since the eight genes that form all Type A flu viruses -- the most dangerous kind -- are made of RNA instead of DNA, they don't copy themselves reliably and are prone to further mutation.

Flu research has accelerated since the Asian bird flu spread to humans in 1997. But the more scientists study it, the more questions they have.

"I know less about influenza today than I did 10 years ago," said Michael Osterholm, director of the Center for Infectious Disease Research and Policy at the University of Minnesota.

Yet for all its destructive power, the influenza virus is a straightforward organism.

Its outer shell is studded with a protein called hemagglutinin that allows flu particles to attach to cells lining the respiratory tract. The virus then takes over the host cell and uses it to make hundreds of copies. Those new flu particles use another surface protein, neuraminidase, to break off from the host so they can search for new targets.

There are 16 types of hemagglutinin, or H, and nine of neuraminidase, or N; the combination gives a flu strain its name. The swine flu involved in this outbreak is an H1N1 variety.

Scientists surmise that influenza originated in wild birds because they carry all types of H and N. Over thousands of years, the flu evolved into five major lineages, Olsen said -- one each for humans, pigs and horses, and two for birds.

Swine flus were first detected in the 1930s, but pigs have probably had their own strains for hundreds of years, said Greg Gray, director of the Center for Emerging Infectious Diseases at the University of Iowa College of Public Health.

For a long time, swine flu was the suspected culprit in the 1918 Spanish flu pandemic that killed about 50 million people. Scientists now blame a bird flu strain, which probably infected pigs and humans simultaneously, Gray said.

The pandemics of 1957 and 1968 both involved strains that contained a mixture of human and avian flu viruses. Experts theorize that pigs were the mixing vessel in those cases, "but there's no smoking gun to indicate that," Olsen said.

Swine flu infected 200 people in 1976, including four soldiers at Ft. Dix, N.J., one of whom died. The virus circulated for about a month, then vanished as mysteriously as it came, according to the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention in Atlanta.

In 1988, a healthy 32-year-old women who visited a pig exhibit at a county fair came down with pneumonia and died eight days later. Epidemiologists tested the exhibitors and found that 76% of them had swine flu antibodies, a sign that their immune systems had tangled with the virus, according to the CDC.
 
North Carolina “Involuntarily Isolating” Suspected Swine Flu Patients

The state’s health director said Monday afternoon that there are suspected cases of swine flu in North Carolina, but declined to say how many cases or where they were located.
Dr. Jeffrey Engel said Monday evening that officials are involuntarily isolating patients who may have the virus. He declined to specifically say how many suspected cases were in the state, noting that the number is always changing, and he declined to say where they were located.
"We’re working very closely with providers, and they are investigating cases on a daily basis," Engel said.
Investigators were gathering specimens and hope to know whether the cases are "probable" some time Tuesday and will seek confirmations by Wednesday.
infowars.com/north-carolina-involuntarily-isolating-suspected-swine-flu-patients/

I've started a new thread, in which I'll be adding the latest every now and then, once it, if it is approved, if not, then I'll disappear back to just playing the game again.

Thanks and blessings, Lee.
 
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NYC: 'Many hundreds' of kids may have swine flu

"Many hundreds" of New York City schoolchildren are sick with suspected swine flu, the city's health commissioner said Tuesday, including a dozen students at a school for autistic children in Queens.

newsday.com/news/printedition/longisland/ny-liswin2912705700apr28,0,66829.story

I pray to God the global elite did not cause or plan this, though we know they allowed the financial crisis to happen, see my site on this.

All happening, also today 3.7 mag quake in the UK as well.

Thanks and many blessings.

++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
Update, state of emergency in California being said as I type this on BBC News channel, now nearly 9:20pm UK time.

There is the worry by Alex Jones Dr Stan of Radio Liberty and so on, that this is what they want, leading to martial law and so on, and begs the question now about this plastic so called fema coffins as well.

Anyway, regardless conspiracy or fact, things it seems are moving at a pace.
Please pray, as guy where I work said he has a mate gone to Mexico, can imagine it can't you, only a small team where I work, survive any layoffs, because of the global depression, which it really is, so says people like Gerald Celente, of Trends Research, only to be taken out by some virus, I hope not.

There was one on the Alex Jones show, said he did think it was bad and from Thursday, was the day he mentioned we'd start to see things happen.
Pity Rick Wiles is away, of truenews.com and so put up in advance podcasts and so not discussing the news and what he feels about it.

Anyway, watch this space, I suspect, they won't approve my posting, or amend it, due to links and so on.

So if ya don't mind I may add it here.
Though no offense in my experience the last few years people, includes sadly Christians, don't want to know.

Here I am, weak in faith, want out and still, I feel compelled to warn on the things that I see, Matt 24:7, Luke 21:25-26, so on.
Anyway, before too long, people will have no choice anyway, as the birth pangs get so bad, they will be forced, compelled to take notice.
This was always Jesus point, despite even Christians who might say the classic 'But we've always had those things.'

Yes, true, but imagine a big earthquake, violent conflicts, disease and tsunami and 911 and much more all going off in the same month, not over years.
So no wonder Jesus (Yeshua) says, unless those days were cut short, be no flesh left to return too.

I believe in Post rapture, or mid, not the lie of the pre, so expect to go through it, but He protected Lot and Noah and no doubt shall us, hmm, I hope, lol.

Blessings, Lee.
 
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UK homes to get swine flu advice


Leaflets about the swine flu outbreak and how to prevent its spread are to be delivered to every UK household.
The Department of Health is also urgently looking at increasing stockpiles of facemasks, most likely for issue to health professionals.
The results of swine flu tests on 23 people in Scotland are expected later. A Falkirk couple, who recently returned from Mexico, are the UK's first cases.
The virus is thought to have killed nearly 160 people in Mexico.
<!-- E SF -->The number of swine flu cases globally is rising, though no-one outside Mexico has died.
The Prime Minister, Gordon Brown, has been briefed on the latest developments by the Chief Medical Officer for England, Sir Liam Donaldson, and Health Secretary Alan Johnson.
Information campaign
Delivery of the government leaflets should start within days.

news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/uk/8023977.stm

=============================================================

To save doing a new post all the time, only daily say, I'll edit my previous one as needed, for updates.

Despite the Guardian article, now have on Sky News the following:

12 year old girl from Torbay and two adults from Redditch (central UK, Midlands)and London have Swine Flu.

===============================================================

More news at 12:40 pm UK time, now saying U.S official says first U.S death from swine flu.
(says later it is a two year old, recently been to Mexico).

If this is true and confirmed, puts a whole new meaning on things.
Matt 24: 7 For nation will rise against nation, and kingdom against kingdom; and there will be famines, plagues, and earthquakes in various places.

So it is ironic, Mexico, pestilence (swine flu) then a 5.6 mag earthquake.

Same here in the U.K with swine flu and 3.7 mag earthquake.

More soon no doubt.

==============================================

News conference or whatever you call it, on Sky News, guy said on there the following:

Face masks would draw everyone into a false sense of security, and also said, Because they can become moist and it can also get in through the pores.

4 Hurting comments:
Be very careful, listening to shows like Alex Jones and Genesis Communication Network, the doctors that come on it, warn against these vaccinations, based on grounds it causes something else and this is what they want, etc.
Also the Tamiflu, if I spelled that right, for the UK is an anti-viral, Alan Johnson, think Health minister, etc, said things like, taken before hand to prevent it.
Yet, he also said it will not cure it, only helps lessen the symptoms, in fact said it would be like a normal type flu.

Because of all this now, I'm going to add a link on from my most popular page 'Most popular bible verses' that people type in google, to make people aware of all the points and facts and so as not to be rushing in believing as usual everything our governments says on it all.
==============================================


An infant who died from swine flu in Texas was Mexican and had travelled to the United States for medical treatment, media reports quoted a Houston health department spokeswoman as saying Wednesday.
Confirmation of what is believed to be the first death outside Mexico came as the number of suspected and confirmed cases of swine flu continued to grow around the world.
Houston health department spokeswoman Kathy Barton told CNN the 23-month-old child who died at a city hospital had travelled with her family to south Texas.
"The child became ill and they transported the child to Houston for medical care," said Barton, who did not know what part of Mexico the baby was from and did not give details on when the infant came to the U.S.
Earlier in the day, the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention in Atlanta confirmed that swine flu caused the death of the child.


cbc.ca/world/story/2009/04/29/health-swine-flu-world285.html


=================================================

Egypt to slaughter its pigs to stop swine flu


According to an Associate Press report, Egypt is setting about slaughtering all of its pigs to stop the swine flu. Egypt's Health Ministry is denying that there have been any cases of the swine flu in humans there. Yet, they are going to kill all of their 300,000 pigs.
examiner.com/x-3035-Everyday-People-Examiner~y2009m4d29-Egypt-to-slaughter-its-pigs-to-stop-swine-flu

===============================================

BREAKING as of 16:34pm
Sky News:
Spanish Health Ministry reports a case of person infected with swine flu who did not travel to Mexico.

I'll be off to work soon, so will not be able until later or tomorrow add more details.

==================================================
 
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This is a wake up call for people to have more etiquette and better personal hygiene.

People cough, spit, sneeze not caring about the people around. It's very simple if you know you've been to Mexico, go get a check up. If you want to sneeze cover your mouth. If you don't have insurance GO to a free health clinic.

Wash you hands, carry baby wipes in your bag if you don't have access to wash your hands or carry sanitizers. If someone standing or sitting next to you is coughing up a storm move.

Parents your kids love playing in germs, request to the school that hand sanitizer be presence in the classroom at all times.
 
Urgent and Vital Information!

Vital information you need to know about the new swine flu threat that should help you sort through all the mixed messages the media is giving you. Read Dr Mercola`s special report on this vital topic so you can avoid deception and manipulation by the conventional media.


Critical Alert: The Swine Flu Pandemic ? Fact or Fiction?
 
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Jesus is coming VERY soon! This is a very exciting time for us Christians and a time for everyone else to wake up and get with it...No more time for games...Get with God!
 
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